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ÌÅÍÞ
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ÁÎËÜØÀß ËÅÍÈÍÃÐÀÄÑÊÀß ÁÈÁËÈÎÒÅÊÀ - ÐÅÔÅÐÀÒÛ - Ìîäåëèðîâàíèå ôîðìèðîâàíèÿ öåí íà çåìåëüíûå ó÷àñòêè Ìîñêîâñêîé îáëàñòè. Êàäàñòðîâàÿ îöåíêà çåìåëüÌîäåëèðîâàíèå ôîðìèðîâàíèÿ öåí íà çåìåëüíûå ó÷àñòêè Ìîñêîâñêîé îáëàñòè. Êàäàñòðîâàÿ îöåíêà çåìåëüÏðèëîæåíèå 4Îöåíèâàíèå ìóëüòèïëèêàòèâíîé ìîäåëè ÌÐÀ, ó÷èòûâàþùåé âëèÿíèå ôàêòîðà ïðèíàäëåæíîñòè ê îöåíî÷íîé çîíå, äëÿ âñåõ íàïðàâëåíèé.
Áåëîðóññêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
Ln(PRICE) = -0.0057827652*EL + 0.13916627*WAT + 0.36901874*GAS + 0.2087365*WC - 0.060767054*TEL + 0.052102827*ROAD - 0.075337328*FOREST - 0.0055189078*RIVER + 0.10331805*ln(SQU) + 0.99534932*ln(MKAD) + 5.2547275*Z1 + 3.5440688*Z2 + 2.0637135*Z3 + 1.2373478*Z4 + 0.67460416*Z5
LS // Dependent Variable is ln(PRICE)
Included observations: 256 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
EL -0.005783 0.141197 -0.040955 0.9674 WAT 0.139166 0.127701 1.089785 0.2769 GAS 0.369019 0.167293 2.205818 0.0283 WC 0.208736 0.235547 0.886178 0.3764 TEL -0.060767 0.231723 -0.262240 0.7934 ROAD 0.052103 0.117192 0.444595 0.6570 FOREST -0.075337 0.118295 -0.636861 0.5248 RIVER -0.005519 0.123836 -0.044566 0.9645 Ln(SQU) 0.103318 0.103426 0.998960 0.3188 Ln(MKAD) 0.995349 0.061144 16.27887 0.0000 Z1 5.254728 0.301141 17.44938 0.0000 Z2 3.544069 0.200701 17.65841 0.0000 Z3 2.063713 0.156938 13.14985 0.0000 Z4 1.237348 0.160135 7.726916 0.0000 Z5 0.674604 0.214143 3.150251 0.0018
R-squared 0.476066 Mean dependent var 5.856869 Adjusted R-squared 0.445630 S.D. dependent var 1.080715 S.E. of regression 0.804657 Akaike info criterion -0.377870 Sum squared resid 156.0411 Schwarz criterion -0.170145 Log likelihood -299.8809 F-statistic 15.64154 Durbin-Watson stat 1.700676 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
ßðîñëàâñêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
LN(PRICE) = 6.1436502 + 0.001955343*EL + 0.085133641*WAT + 0.44572002*GAS - 0.21492366*WC + 0.85278469*TEL + 0.14799338*ROAD - 0.10178491*FOREST - 0.013373748*RIVER - 0.19580008*LN(SQU) - 0.22451889*LN(MKAD) + 1.274168*Z1 + 1.58818*Z2 + 1.0262341*Z3 + 0.72269108*Z4 - 0.53163349*Z5
LS // Dependent Variable is LN(PRICE)
Included observations: 173 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.143650 0.735122 8.357322 0.0000 EL 0.001955 0.143042 0.013670 0.9891 WAT 0.085134 0.117218 0.726286 0.4687 GAS 0.445720 0.137652 3.238027 0.0015 WC -0.214924 0.415879 -0.516794 0.6060 TEL 0.852785 0.310867 2.743246 0.0068 ROAD 0.147993 0.121000 1.223087 0.2231 FOREST -0.101785 0.118445 -0.859345 0.3915 RIVER -0.013374 0.115716 -0.115574 0.9081 LN(SQU) -0.195800 0.115434 -1.696203 0.0918 LN(MKAD) -0.224519 0.147786 -1.519217 0.1307 Z1 1.274168 0.432226 2.947921 0.0037 Z2 1.588180 0.322526 4.924191 0.0000 Z3 1.026234 0.247162 4.152076 0.0001 Z4 0.722691 0.195322 3.699990 0.0003 Z5 -0.531633 0.687414 -0.773382 0.4405
R-squared 0.602023 Mean dependent var 6.099806 Adjusted R-squared 0.564000 S.D. dependent var 0.992992 S.E. of regression 0.655676 Akaike info criterion -0.756252 Sum squared resid 67.49603 Schwarz criterion -0.464618 Log likelihood -164.0606 F-statistic 15.83301 Durbin-Watson stat 2.245641 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Êàçàíñêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
LN(PRICE) = 6.9040789 + 0.34526888*EL + 0.12405055*WAT + 0.18869291*GAS - 0.60746533*WC - 0.81654511*TEL - 0.036112493*ROAD - 0.090087358*FOREST + 0.16458687*RIVER + 0.39180948*LN(SQU) - 0.73456461*LN(MKAD) - 0.23197312*Z1 - 0.083669*Z2 - 0.64306212*Z3 + 0.14476455*Z4 - 0.2004949*Z5
LS // Dependent Variable is LN(PRICE)
Included observations: 118
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.904079 1.259503 5.481589 0.0000 EL 0.345269 0.202017 1.709111 0.0905 WAT 0.124051 0.161872 0.766347 0.4452 GAS 0.188693 0.201739 0.935332 0.3518 WC -0.607465 0.607755 -0.999523 0.3199 TEL -0.816545 0.474930 -1.719296 0.0886 ROAD -0.036112 0.180892 -0.199636 0.8422 FOREST -0.090087 0.177843 -0.506556 0.6136 RIVER 0.164587 0.174485 0.943272 0.3478 LN(SQU) 0.391809 0.169016 2.318177 0.0224 LN(MKAD) -0.734565 0.261145 -2.812861 0.0059 Z1 -0.231973 1.021114 -0.227177 0.8207 Z2 -0.083669 0.658563 -0.127048 0.8992 Z3 -0.643062 0.639217 -1.006016 0.3168 Z4 0.144765 0.348880 0.414941 0.6791 Z5 -0.200495 0.289912 -0.691573 0.4908
R-squared 0.513905 Mean dependent var 5.418579 Adjusted R-squared 0.442421 S.D. dependent var 1.041129 S.E. of regression 0.777424 Akaike info criterion -0.378064 Sum squared resid 61.64757 Schwarz criterion -0.002378 Log likelihood -129.1289 F-statistic 7.189038 Durbin-Watson stat 2.065796 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Êèåâñêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
LN(PRICE) = 6.2950012 + 0.00059839431*EL + 0.092929326*WAT + 0.4016492*GAS + 0.42332728*WC - 0.010431107*TEL - 0.10458877*ROAD + 0.014841448*FOREST - 0.25781806*RIVER + 0.23004302*LN(SQU) - 0.43769331*LN(MKAD) - 0.072444234*Z1 + 0.53095758*Z2 + 0.79909599*Z3 + 0.38701369*Z4 + 0.5933079*Z5
LS // Dependent Variable is LN(PRICE)
Included observations: 307 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.295001 0.479543 13.12709 0.0000 EL 0.000598 0.111878 0.005349 0.9957 WAT 0.092929 0.095806 0.969970 0.3329 GAS 0.401649 0.107840 3.724502 0.0002 WC 0.423327 0.297281 1.423996 0.1555 TEL -0.010431 0.731038 -0.014269 0.9886 ROAD -0.104589 0.095192 -1.098712 0.2728 FOREST 0.014841 0.097042 0.152939 0.8786 RIVER -0.257818 0.099483 -2.591569 0.0100 LN(SQU) 0.230043 0.096485 2.384240 0.0178 LN(MKAD) -0.437693 0.090877 -4.816322 0.0000 Z1 -0.072444 0.846314 -0.085600 0.9318 Z2 0.530958 0.335069 1.584622 0.1141 Z3 0.799096 0.275587 2.899614 0.0040 Z4 0.387014 0.245119 1.578881 0.1154 Z5 0.593308 0.394208 1.505062 0.1334
R-squared 0.483673 Mean dependent var 6.123477 Adjusted R-squared 0.457058 S.D. dependent var 0.966970 S.E. of regression 0.712508 Akaike info criterion -0.627219 Sum squared resid 147.7311 Schwarz criterion -0.432986 Log likelihood -323.3360 F-statistic 18.17308 Durbin-Watson stat 1.791071 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Êóðñêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
LN(PRICE) = 7.2035055 - 0.012993828*EL + 0.39150869*WAT + 0.26305989*GAS - 0.066238123*WC + 0.99157395*TEL + 0.088108908*ROAD - 0.11821644*FOREST + 0.21614314*RIVER - 0.13547526*LN(SQU) - 0.43318913*LN(MKAD) - 0.29316653*Z1 - 0.818894*Z2 - 0.077742065*Z3 - 0.10771119*Z4 - 0.035958122*Z5
LS // Dependent Variable is LN(PRICE)
Included observations: 141 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 7.203505 1.344009 5.359717 0.0000 EL -0.012994 0.181480 -0.071599 0.9430 WAT 0.391509 0.154472 2.534493 0.0125 GAS 0.263060 0.185494 1.418161 0.1586 WC -0.066238 0.884732 -0.074868 0.9404 TEL 0.991574 0.777281 1.275696 0.2044 ROAD 0.088109 0.145403 0.605965 0.5456 FOREST -0.118216 0.163708 -0.722116 0.4716 RIVER 0.216143 0.168270 1.284499 0.2013 LN(SQU) -0.135475 0.105938 -1.278820 0.2033 LN(MKAD) -0.433189 0.301055 -1.438903 0.1527 Z1 -0.293167 1.374322 -0.213317 0.8314 Z2 -0.818894 0.977020 -0.838155 0.4035 Z3 -0.077742 0.578606 -0.134361 0.8933 Z4 -0.107711 0.257339 -0.418558 0.6763 Z5 -0.035958 0.225253 -0.159635 0.8734
R-squared 0.240081 Mean dependent var 5.530674 Adjusted R-squared 0.148891 S.D. dependent var 0.820699 S.E. of regression 0.757140 Akaike info criterion -0.449909 Sum squared resid 71.65770 Schwarz criterion -0.115298 Log likelihood -152.3517 F-statistic 2.632748 Durbin-Watson stat 2.097965 Prob(F-statistic) 0.001743
Ëåíèíãðàäñêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
LN(PRICE) = 7.9350745 + 0.24943039*EL + 0.10896672*WAT + 0.078894578*GAS + 0.91195044*WC - 0.20434372*TEL - 0.079129206*ROAD + 0.051493538*FOREST + 0.029083264*RIVER - 0.042469369*LN(SQU) - 0.65334765*LN(MKAD) + 0.20942511*Z1 - 0.24685898*Z2 + 0.030572545*Z3 + 0.12351687*Z4 - 0.33871248*Z5
LS // Dependent Variable is LN(PRICE)
Included observations: 167 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 7.935074 0.801468 9.900680 0.0000 EL 0.249430 0.143234 1.741418 0.0836 WAT 0.108967 0.133612 0.815546 0.4160 GAS 0.078895 0.150746 0.523361 0.6015 WC 0.911950 0.364467 2.502146 0.0134 TEL -0.204344 0.429095 -0.476220 0.6346 ROAD -0.079129 0.117322 -0.674461 0.5010 FOREST 0.051494 0.119696 0.430202 0.6677 RIVER 0.029083 0.120607 0.241140 0.8098 LN(SQU) -0.042469 0.135182 -0.314165 0.7538 LN(MKAD) -0.653348 0.154423 -4.230895 0.0000 Z1 0.209425 0.695034 0.301316 0.7636 Z2 -0.246859 0.786942 -0.313694 0.7542 Z3 0.030573 0.246929 0.123811 0.9016 Z4 0.123517 0.219681 0.562256 0.5748 Z5 -0.338712 0.197757 -1.712769 0.0888
R-squared 0.437057 Mean dependent var 5.681078 Adjusted R-squared 0.381135 S.D. dependent var 0.855741 S.E. of regression 0.673194 Akaike info criterion -0.700540 Sum squared resid 68.43173 Schwarz criterion -0.401810 Log likelihood -162.4676 F-statistic 7.815542 Durbin-Watson stat 1.756217 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Ãîðüêîâñêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
LN(PRICE) = 7.2976855 + 0.19738607*EL + 0.12203915*WAT + 0.16193317*GAS + 1.0622297*WC - 1.2649169*TEL + 0.010250859*ROAD + 0.1420379*FOREST - 0.00048040952*RIVER - 0.11438465*LN(SQU) - 0.54339161*LN(MKAD) - 2.4357748*Z1 + 0.09279889*Z2 + 0.4656004*Z3 + 0.15282546*Z4 + 0.0097173295*Z5
LS // Dependent Variable is LN(PRICE)
Included observations: 147 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 7.297685 1.225366 5.955517 0.0000 EL 0.197386 0.144176 1.369067 0.1733 WAT 0.122039 0.133528 0.913959 0.3624 GAS 0.161933 0.185189 0.874420 0.3835 WC 1.062230 1.105137 0.961175 0.3382 TEL -1.264917 0.718158 -1.761335 0.0805 ROAD 0.010251 0.144360 0.071009 0.9435 FOREST 0.142038 0.150984 0.940750 0.3486 RIVER -0.000480 0.148962 -0.003225 0.9974 LN(SQU) -0.114385 0.122861 -0.931008 0.3536 LN(MKAD) -0.543392 0.265516 -2.046553 0.0427 Z1 -2.435775 1.375588 -1.770715 0.0789 Z2 0.092799 0.991448 0.093599 0.9256 Z3 0.465600 0.526827 0.883783 0.3784 Z4 0.152825 0.338940 0.450892 0.6528 Z5 0.009717 0.219800 0.044210 0.9648
R-squared 0.467753 Mean dependent var 5.483975 Adjusted R-squared 0.406809 S.D. dependent var 0.909893 S.E. of regression 0.700790 Akaike info criterion -0.608643 Sum squared resid 64.33493 Schwarz criterion -0.283154 Log likelihood -147.8487 F-statistic 7.675095 Durbin-Watson stat 1.903338 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Ïàâåëåöêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
LN(PRICE) = 6.6769836 + 0.10555016*EL + 0.040062897*WAT + 0.3035971*GAS + 0.14805449*WC + 0.57867799*TEL + 0.050667383*ROAD + 0.081297288*FOREST - 0.19807505*RIVER - 0.47775154*LN(SQU) - 0.18126861*LN(MKAD) - 0.010021124*Z1 + 0.79246309*Z2 + 0.57679141*Z3 + 0.56630294*Z4 + 0.55346155*Z5
LS // Dependent Variable is LN(PRICE)
Included observations: 157 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.676984 0.782536 8.532498 0.0000 EL 0.105550 0.132213 0.798335 0.4260 WAT 0.040063 0.119593 0.334994 0.7381 GAS 0.303597 0.147164 2.062979 0.0409 WC 0.148054 0.632404 0.234114 0.8152 TEL 0.578678 0.628164 0.921221 0.3585 ROAD 0.050667 0.124058 0.408418 0.6836 FOREST 0.081297 0.129352 0.628496 0.5307 RIVER -0.198075 0.134337 -1.474466 0.1426 LN(SQU) -0.477752 0.100443 -4.756428 0.0000 LN(MKAD) -0.181269 0.156166 -1.160743 0.2477 Z1 -0.010021 0.959986 -0.010439 0.9917 Z2 0.792463 0.494083 1.603908 0.1110 Z3 0.576791 0.335061 1.721453 0.0874 Z4 0.566303 0.238714 2.372305 0.0190 Z5 0.553462 0.202996 2.726472 0.0072
R-squared 0.521148 Mean dependent var 5.580578 Adjusted R-squared 0.470207 S.D. dependent var 0.834223 S.E. of regression 0.607205 Akaike info criterion -0.901442 Sum squared resid 51.98641 Schwarz criterion -0.589977 Log likelihood -136.0102 F-statistic 10.23029 Durbin-Watson stat 2.185368 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Ðèæñêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
LN(PRICE) = 6.8339143 + 0.27465918*EL + 0.10224976*WAT - 0.26982427*GAS + 1.3867012*WC - 0.12616538*TEL - 0.26368434*ROAD + 0.1530851*FOREST - 0.092635649*RIVER - 0.10487202*LN(SQU) - 0.44897652*LN(MKAD) + 1.2689782*Z1 + 0.78347813*Z2 + 0.56006737*Z3 + 0.34313609*Z4 + 0.42048733*Z5
LS // Dependent Variable is LN(PRICE)
Included observations: 258 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.833914 0.771995 8.852277 0.0000 EL 0.274659 0.113736 2.414876 0.0165 WAT 0.102250 0.101090 1.011470 0.3128 GAS -0.269824 0.123725 -2.180837 0.0302 WC 1.386701 0.272211 5.094223 0.0000 TEL -0.126165 0.247928 -0.508879 0.6113 ROAD -0.263684 0.097433 -2.706307 0.0073 FOREST 0.153085 0.104817 1.460500 0.1454 RIVER -0.092636 0.106792 -0.867442 0.3866 LN(SQU) -0.104872 0.103249 -1.015717 0.3108 LN(MKAD) -0.448977 0.158011 -2.841426 0.0049 Z1 1.268978 0.444861 2.852530 0.0047 Z2 0.783478 0.329689 2.376418 0.0183 Z3 0.560067 0.236274 2.370418 0.0186 Z4 0.343136 0.189914 1.806797 0.0720 Z5 0.420487 0.174265 2.412920 0.0166
R-squared 0.569089 Mean dependent var 5.586555 Adjusted R-squared 0.542380 S.D. dependent var 1.004311 S.E. of regression 0.679393 Akaike info criterion -0.713102 Sum squared resid 111.7011 Schwarz criterion -0.492764 Log likelihood -258.0959 F-statistic 21.30673 Durbin-Watson stat 1.764218 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Ðÿçàíñêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
LN(PRICE) = 7.1094811 + 0.16835579*EL + 0.36940587*WAT + 0.38951983*GAS + 0.025287291*WC - 0.43966663*TEL - 0.20887966*ROAD - 0.21255317*FOREST + 0.0072907488*RIVER - 0.34645315*LN(SQU) - 0.37529371*LN(MKAD) + 0.51058451*Z1 + 0.002210195*Z2 + 0.59625975*Z3 + 0.24562682*Z4 + 0.015898807*Z5
LS // Dependent Variable is LN(PRICE)
Included observations: 160 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 7.109481 1.387891 5.122507 0.0000 EL 0.168356 0.160979 1.045821 0.2974 WAT 0.369406 0.154677 2.388247 0.0182 GAS 0.389520 0.186274 2.091113 0.0383 WC 0.025287 0.409391 0.061768 0.9508 TEL -0.439667 0.725284 -0.606199 0.5453 ROAD -0.208880 0.146137 -1.429337 0.1551 FOREST -0.212553 0.140521 -1.512604 0.1326 RIVER 0.007291 0.142162 0.051285 0.9592 LN(SQU) -0.346453 0.130100 -2.662979 0.0086 LN(MKAD) -0.375294 0.278704 -1.346566 0.1802 Z1 0.510585 1.312182 0.389111 0.6978 Z2 0.002210 0.758709 0.002913 0.9977 Z3 0.596260 0.545427 1.093198 0.2761 Z4 0.245627 0.289006 0.849903 0.3968 Z5 0.015899 0.297245 0.053487 0.9574
R-squared 0.509948 Mean dependent var 5.404866 Adjusted R-squared 0.458900 S.D. dependent var 0.959028 S.E. of regression 0.705456 Akaike info criterion -0.603182 Sum squared resid 71.66426 Schwarz criterion -0.295664 Log likelihood -162.7756 F-statistic 9.989740 Durbin-Watson stat 2.056788 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Ñàâåëîâñêîå íàïðàâëåíèå
LN(PRICE) = 0.15833477*EL + 0.1518384*WAT + 0.62200473*GAS + 0.67237521*WC - 0.0365604*TEL - 0.071777355*ROAD + 0.00014905636*FOREST + 0.29555889*RIVER - 0.25845502*LN(SQU) + 1.1255825*LN(MKAD) + 5.416356*Z1 + 3.2842564*Z2 + 2.2102678*Z3 + 1.4237438*Z4 + 1.2809989*Z5 LS // Dependent Variable is LN(PRICE)
Included observations: 167 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
EL 0.158335 0.181054 0.874516 0.3832 WAT 0.151838 0.179730 0.844816 0.3995 GAS 0.622005 0.244504 2.543941 0.0120 WC 0.672375 0.430167 1.563055 0.1201 TEL -0.036560 0.423142 -0.086402 0.9313 ROAD -0.071777 0.163640 -0.438631 0.6616 FOREST 0.000149 0.150200 0.000992 0.9992 RIVER 0.295559 0.143980 2.052774 0.0418 LN(SQU) -0.258455 0.097592 -2.648329 0.0089 LN(MKAD) 1.125582 0.066058 17.03921 0.0000 Z1 5.416356 0.345376 15.68250 0.0000 Z2 3.284256 0.199313 16.47792 0.0000 Z3 2.210268 0.346324 6.382084 0.0000 Z4 1.423744 0.209714 6.788987 0.0000 Z5 1.280999 0.263239 4.866294 0.0000
R-squared 0.350319 Mean dependent var 5.658380 Adjusted R-squared 0.290480 S.D. dependent var 1.055624 S.E. of regression 0.889184 Akaike info criterion -0.149375 Sum squared resid 120.1785 Schwarz criterion 0.130684 Log likelihood -209.4899 F-statistic 5.854357 Durbin-Watson stat 1.367878 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 |
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